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The scenario centers on January 3, 2027. Even if Democrats win House and Senate majorities in November, Luttig argues, Speaker Mike Johnson could move before noon that day to replace House Clerk Kevin McCumber with a loyalist who leaves duly elected Democrats off the roll of the incoming 120th…

From there the conversation turns to the 2026 midterm elections. Hawk lays out his fear about the stretch between election night and the January swearing in, the prospect of ballots being seized before they are counted, and a militarized presence at the polls, while Shaana argues for voting in…

Hawk runs through the rest of the lineup and a bizarre moment when an image of Hasan Piker appeared on the arena Jumbotron during an anti socialism segment, along with Piker's reaction. He also fact checks Trump's tarmac claims that the Iran war and high gas prices will both end right after the…

His larger point is that the Dunning Kruger effect is not a partisan trait. Hawk argues it shows up just as often on the left as on the right, and he pushes back on the idea that acknowledging hard truths and respecting expertise are somehow in conflict.On the Clancy case itself, Hawk holds two…

Drawing a line back to 2020 and the stretch between election night and January 6th, Hawk argues the difference now is planning. He points to reporting that ICE is building a multimillion dollar national voter database, to DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin saying agents could appear at polling places,…

From there Hawk lays out the political reality. Even with 52 or 53 Senate seats, Democrats would be far short of the Republican votes needed for conviction, and a Republican-controlled Senate might decline to hold a trial at all. He notes how Mitch McConnell pointed to the courts after January 6th,…

From there he runs the board on eight Senate races where Democrats are polling ahead: Mary Peltola in Alaska, Jon Ossoff defending Georgia against Mike Collins, Josh Turek in Iowa, Troy Jackson taking on Susan Collins in Maine after Graham Platner exited the race, Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan against…

The conversation turns to a hard truth: nobody is doing anything to stop him. Hawk points to Donald Trump's second term, the harm being done to others on purpose, and the fear that Trump and Republicans will interfere with the midterm elections. He calls out the Supreme Court for gutting the Voting…

Hawk examines AIPAC influence, Democratic Party divisions over Israel, Gaza, military aid, Zionism, antisemitism, and whether criticism of the Israeli government is being unfairly conflated with hatred of Jewish people. Names raised include Hakeem Jeffries, Cory Booker, Alyssa Slotkin, Josh…

Two genuinely ridiculous things crossed Hawk's desk today, and they rhyme. First, The Atlantic reports that with his approval parked in the low thirties, the president sat his advisors down to figure out how to spend a roughly $400 million super PAC war chest, and the master plan they landed on is…

The center of it is expert testimony. When a defendant's mental state is the whole question, both sides bring in psychologists, and everything those witnesses say is opinion, not fact. Hawk walks through what it takes to qualify an expert, why the phrase to a reasonable degree of psychological…

His argument is simple and hard to answer. If ICE and Border Patrol were detaining dozens of violent criminals, carjackers, traffickers, members of Tren de Aragua, this administration would put them in front of cameras every single day. It has not done that once. What the cameras show instead are…